That's for sure -- Bitterly cold here today in northern NE -- been a completely off the wall winter -- snowstorm couple weeks ago, then warm weather & a lot of rain -- now this cold snap -- then upper 40s predicted early next week
some cosmic check-ins/interstellar intuitions reveal a pattern setting up for a mid March blizzard -- fueled by full moon, also cold air rushing down from Hudson Bay/Canadian maritime regions, colliding w/unsettled weather here -- & whammo, nor'easter -- much like March 1993 blizzard -- just doing my cyber snowdance 😮
Global warming.
Winter is not quite done yet.
By: Bob Henson, 3:57 PM GMT on March 09, 2017
Under brilliant blue skies, an onslaught of high wind swept across the Great Lakes region on Wednesday, causing damage and disruption on par with a major winter storm or a severe thunderstorm complex. About 1 million customers lost power in Michigan alone, and more than 800,000 of those remained without electricity on Thursday morning. More than 100,000 others were affected in parts of Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and New York. It’s been the largest weather-relate...
(from Wunderground Category 6 blog).
https://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html
Snow coming tomorrow to the northeast once again. Thunder, lightning, snow.
The snow total estimates for Friday's storm are all over the place. There's a big difference between 1-3 and 4-7.
Weather.gov says 4-7"
NWS says 3-5"
Storm Team 4 says 2-4"
Joe Cioffi says 4-6"
Elliot Abrams says 1-3"
And then there are the European models that say 12".
The storm for next Tuesday can be 12-18+ inches. When winter is done then we get a month or two of quiet, then the OTHER season with torrential rain and squalls and 60+ mph winds. They want us to think this is normal, it's not.
Yes that's for sure -- winter is not quite done yet -- definitely lingering here -- 2nd straight weekend of bitterly cold weather predicted, after a midweek of upper 40s w/rain -- it's been that kind of pattern a lot this winter -- the frost layer has to be real deep
what a blow tho in western NY -- Buffalo & those places have snowy/windy winters anyway but this was way out there they said -- flattened in places
a little snow in northern NE, please 😉
I don't know how wildlife survives late-winter extreme conditions (like today's) -- already weakened, exposed at all times to the weather, little foraging for food -- at their most vulnerable to predators
[Edited on 3/11/2017 by Stephen]
The wildlife just hide in the trees, caves or they flow south.
As to the Monday night into Tuesday storm, there are some variables between the GFS (American Model) and the European. We could get a lot of snow, a smaller amount (6" or less) or it could go out to sea. I am hoping it goes out to sea.
By the way TURN YOUR CLOCKS AHEAD THIS WEEKEND. It's that time again.
The storm for Tuesday night into Wednesday, that's right 24 hours of hell is named Stella. Can I hang out the window like Marlon Brando in A Streetcar Named Desire and scream STEL-LAAAAAA?
Hurricane force wind gusts w/cross coast for many hours from MD to New Eng thru Tues.
Central pressure falls from 1002 - 976 mb in 12/hrs. This 00z EC run considerably different than prev 12z but more closely matches 00z from last night. Almost 50-million could see 1-foot+.ECMWF 00z lowers boom on big cities "crippling" blizzard Tues-Wed. Blizzard rapidly intensifies from 1012 mb --> 987 mb in 24-hours, qualifies as "bomb" or in weather terms, bombogenesis. Snow + wind should "cripple" I-95 corridor Tuesday. Hi-res NAM-WRF (3-km) parallel model at 60-hrs right about time NYC is getting rocked. 3-5" per hour snowfall rates. Initial estimates of Nor'easter snowfall ❄ from weather models fairly certain on 18-24"+ Philly, NYC, Boston. Wash DC on edge
1-2 feet of snow, strong winds - coastal gusts to hurricane force. Behind blizzard Wednesday morning, strong Arctic high pressure pushes front and freezing line to Atlantic seaboard & south Georgia.
Do I need to look further? Piaceeeeeere!
TIMING:
Starts in DC around sunset Monday night.
Gets to Philly in the evening.
NYC - 2 AM - 5 AM, hard snow by 7 AM , 1-2" per hour.
Should be done 1 AM Tuesday (which is actually Wednesday morning).
BOSTON - 1 AM it will be done there.
Next storm, next Sunday, but nothing like this. After that more storms between 3/21, 23, 24.
[Edited on 3/12/2017 by gina]
[Edited on 3/12/2017 by gina]
Not much has changed in the forecast except that Bernie is reporting on the sleet and the mixing. although the timing for the start of the snow has been moved up, saying it will start after 1 am, and by the rush hour (which is really 5 hours around here). The main accumulating snow will stop between 3-5 pm.
The worst of it is supposed to be 5 AM - 1 PM
3-5 PM the accumulating snow stops.
Light snow continues till 8 pm or so.
There will be more snow showers Wednesday morning particularly after 11 AM.
Henry's got the Big Daddy hat on.
http://www.accuweather.com/en/videos/expert-forecasts/epic-snowstorm-for-some-on-the-way/f4bzi5yte6o0cnlleinxd2ssq527igk4
Bernie's take on the storm.
Those in the Hudson Valley need to stay home. DO NOT VENTURE OUT 8 - 9 AM. JUST DON'T. I don't even want to repeat what I heard from another news source. (oh you people, more than 9 inches per hour possible during that hour).
Dr. McBride has a different forecast than the others.
https://twitter.com/hashtag/stella?src ="hash"
[Edited on 3/13/2017 by gina]
[Edited on 3/13/2017 by gina]
a few days ago I went and bought new fishing line, hooks, lures.
😛
won't be much melting afterwards, going to stay pretty cold for a while...
snow plow back on the truck...I'm ready, bring me big snow!
Disappointing snowfall here... 🙁
winter storm theseus.
rain here in our dysfunctional little corner of the world.
just north, worcester, amherst, etc., possibly 2 feet of snow.
happy spring. 😉 😛
New England and parts north have 3 more storms on the way. Don't put the shovel away till the end of April.
Severe weather Gulf states into Monday.
https://www.wunderground.com/news/severe-weather-forecast-early-april-2017-tornadoes-hail-wind
As for the north, same scenario as last Friday, rain (torrential at times) coastal flooding. The mosquitos are already out, welcome to the OTHER season. We have two seasons here winter and OTHER.
The deluge part two continues for tomorrow. And another one is coming Thursday and Friday, since the government can control the weather, why don't they have some mercy on us already?
GEORGIA, SOUTH CAROLINA, ALABAMA
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/meteomadness/deadly-tornadoes-p ossible-today/70001317
https://twitter.com/HenryMargusity
I just counted 32 supercell storms that could produce tornadoes. Amazing
Henry Margusity @HenryMargusity · 48m48 minutes ago
Now things are getting dangerous. Second wave of tornadoes coming in from the west with the cold front. Be safe
https://twitter.com/AccuRayno
By the way Hot Lanta has a tornado watch till 10 pm tonite.
Tornado watch until 10pm EDT has been expanded to include metro Atlanta now. New info on @wsbtv.
https://twitter.com/BradNitzWSB
Click on an area near you and get the truth.
]
[Edited on 4/5/2017 by gina]
NY AND NORTHEAST - What is coming and when:
Joe has more rain and for a longer duration than the other models.
http://www.meteorologistjoecioffi.com/index.php/2017/04/05/flooding-wind-rain-arrives-early-morning-hours/
https://twitter.com/leegoldbergABC7
Bernie says the 500 mb looks scary.
"Scary 500 mb Thu pm. Look at negative tilt into VA,90-105 kts of wind. At very least,widespread damaging squall line,worried about tornadoes"
https://twitter.com/AccuRayno
[Edited on 4/5/2017 by gina]
It's waaaay too late for April Fool's Day Jokes, honest to goodness, Tropical Storm warning In April - YEP
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/202032.shtml
Tropical Storm Arlene Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012017
500 PM AST Thu Apr 20 2017
I have to add one more surprise to my long hurricane forecasting
career. Unexpectedly, the subtropical cyclone became a tropical
depression this morning, and then it intensified to a tropical
storm. This intensity estimate is based on the cloud pattern
presentation on satellite imagery which shows moderate thunderstorm
activity surrounding an eye-type feature, and a convective ring in
microwave imagery. Initial intensity is set at 40 kt, although
estimates from TAFB suggest that the winds could have reached 45 kt
around 1800 UTC. Since that time, the cloud pattern has deteriorated
somewhat and winds probably have diminished. Despite the
intensification, Arlene is still forecast by all global models to
become absorbed by a nearby developing extratropical cyclone on
Friday.
Arlene is moving toward the west-northwest at 22 kt, while well
embedded in the fast flow surrounding the extratropical low. This
general motion around the low is expected until dissipation on
Friday.
"It is expected to dissipate on Friday". If they are wrong we should all go and stick out heads out the window and scream Whippin' Post!
Piacere, rescue me......
here is also some news regarding hurricane season. Experts have said they think there will be less Atlantic based storms due to the el nino which will create wind shear. They have named the storms. Let's wait till the season which starts June 1st to think about all that.
Northeast storm for tomorrow. 3/4 inch of rain during the day, another 1-2 inches of rain in the evening (after 7 pm). Could be a total of 2-3 inches rain when it is over and done, could also be gale force winds along the shorelines like 35 knots.
And yes, in about a week or two, you may hear more about Investigation 19P, which if it becomes a Tropical Storm, will be named Ella. You know you'll get info here first. This is Ella.
Happy Mothers Day to all who are Mothers, let the world pause and consider their importance.
[Edited on 5/12/2017 by gina]
Plain States warning tonite
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/severe-weather-danger-to-return-to-south-central-us-thursday/70001683
Tomorrow
Heatwave for the north
NWS forecast has bumped up highs to 95°-96°F in hottest locales of New England on Thursday ... as far north as Maine.
Wisconsin had a swath of tornadoes that tore thru 50 miles of town.
http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/severe-weather-danger-to-return-to-south-central-us-thursday/70001683
Texas still at risk for more super cell tornadoes.
IT AINT HOT EVERYWHERE - Denver will have Snow!
"Heaviest snow through this weekend will be just west of Denver -- over 3-feet likely. Mountain snows across Rockies under cold air mass."
Point and click on your area to see what's going on.
[Edited on 5/17/2017 by gina]
[Edited on 5/17/2017 by gina]
With the heat all over the country today, it is hard to imagine there is snow anywhere in the country, but there is.
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/strong-tornadoes-possible-monday-parts-wyoming-nebraska
and yes June is the start of the season of you know what.
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/potential-development-atlantic-early-next-week
https://www.wunderground.com/news
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=2
Keep a lookout in about 5 days.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/
[Edited on 6/18/2017 by gina]
Trade winds will be blowing in Hawaii. Aloha
The first storm, Cindy will hit the Gulf Coast . Landfall 1 am Thursday Port Arthur/Galveston area.
Heavy rains coming before that even.
"On the forecast track, Cindy is expected to approach
the coast of southwest Louisiana late Wednesday or Wednesday night,
and move inland over western Louisiana and eastern Texas on
Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast before the system
reaches the coast on Thursday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km),
mainly to the north and east of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
RAINFALL: Cindy is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
6 to 9 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches over
southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, southern Alabama, and
the Florida Panhandle through Thursday. Rainfall amounts of 3 to 5
inches with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches can be expected
farther west across southwest Louisiana into southeast Texas through
Thursday.
STORM SURGE: Inundation of 1 to 3 feet above ground level is
possible along the coast in portions of the Tropical Storm Warning
area.
TORNADOES: A tornado or two is possible this afternoon and tonight
from south-central Louisiana to the western Florida Panhandle. "
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT3+shtml/201733.shtml
http://www.meteorologistjoecioffi.com/index.php/2017/06/20/tropical-storm-cindy-moving-toward-southwest-louisiana/
Joe's map and related video
https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/downpours-sweep-southeast-ahead-tropical-storm-cindy
Henry says a foot or rain for Mobile, the storm will actually come in Port Arthur/Galveston Texas as a strong Tropical Storm 60-80 mph winds, could even become a hurricane before it comes in. The rain fall amount with this will be a lot. And then of course when it is done beating up the coast, it will head northbound go into the Atlantic and well, Laylatul Qadr is coming Next Wednesday night into Thursday which is the night of power in Islam, which means we will not go down here the way we did with Sandy.
http://meteorologicalmadness.blogspot.com/2017/06/flooding-from-cindy-and-severe-weather.html
Alabama has already declared a state of emergency and rightly so, a foot of rain coming to Mobile!
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/storm.asp?storm_identifier=AL032017
[Edited on 6/20/2017 by gina]
The other one was named Brett but has downgraded into a Tropical Wave. That one would have been an Atlantic coast based storm, but this is Ramadan, the gates of hell are closed for the month!
But here is after landfall with Cindy.
youtu.be/vc4Y2ebytp4?a
[Edited on 6/20/2017 by gina]
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