Odds to win the Presidential election
Joe Biden -190
Donald Trump +165
Nominee to win the popular vote
Joe Biden -650
Donald Trump +425
Biden to win Presidency and win popular vote -170
Biden to win Presidency and lose popular vote +4000
Trump to win Presidency and lose popular vote +230
Trump to win Presidency and win popular vote +425
Winner of popular vote wins electoral college
Yes -270
No +375
Votes for Trump
Over 69.5 million -130
Under 69.5 million -110
Votes for Biden
Over 79.5 million -135
Under 79.5 million -105
Total electoral votes for Biden
Under 310.5 -130
Over 310.5 -110
Percent of popular vote for Trump
45-47-49% +200
42.50-44.99% +225
47.50-49.99% +250
50% or more +425
42.49% or less +625
Percent of popular vote for Biden
55% or more +210
52.50-54.99% +210
50-52.49% +250
47.50-49.99% +500
47.49% or less +550
Turnout
Over 149.5 million voters -365
Under 149.5 million voters +235
Over 60.5% -250
Under 60.5% +170
Will Trump lose every state he lost in 2016
Yes -260
No +200
Will Trump win every state he won in 2016
No -650
Yes +375
Electoral college vote Arizona
Democrat -130
Republican +100
Electoral college vote Florida
Republican -160
Democrat +125
Electoral college vote Georgia
Republican -160
Democrat +130
Electoral college vote Michigan
Democrat -375
Republican +275
Electoral college vote Minnesota
Democrat -350
Republican +275
Electoral college vote North Carolina
Democrat -135
Republican +105
Electoral college vote Ohio
Republican -285
Democrat +225
Electoral college vote Pennsylvania
Democrat -180
Republican +150
Electoral college vote Texas
Republican -400
Democrat +300
Electoral college vote Virginia
Democrat -1200
Republican +650
Electoral college vote Wisconsin
Democrat -375
Republican +275
House seats won by Democrats
Over 209.5 seats -850
Under 209.5 seats +450
Majority Senate Control
Democrat -155
Republican +115
Alabama Senate race
Tommy Tuberville -1000
Doug Jones +550
Arizona Senate race
Mark Kelly -400
Martha McSally +250
Colorado Senate race
John Hickenlooper -850
Cory Gardner +450
Iowa Senate race
Joni Ernst -125
Theresa Greenfield -115
Kentucky Senate race
Mitch McConnell -1500
Amy McGrath +600
Maine Senate race
Sara Gideon -250
Susan Collins +600
Michigan Senate race
Gary Peters -300
John James +200
Montana Senate race
Steve Daines -250
Steve Bulluck +170
North Carolina Senate race
Cal Cunningham -155
Thom Tillis +115
South Carolina Senate race
Lindsey Graham -400
Jaime Harrison +250
Odds courtesy of betonline.ag
For anyone not familiar with how the odds or "price" works, a -125 would be a favorite, the +125 would be an underdog. For example, if you wanted to say that the option with a -125 will happen, you would 'bet' $125 to win $100 (and you'd be refunded your original $125 upon winning). If you wanted the option with a +125, you would 'bet' $100 to win $125 (you'd also be refunded your original $100 upon winning). Or you could say, you'd risk $12.50 to win $10 or risk $10 to win $12.50.
I found some of those odds and options interesting.
I'm a little surprised to see those odds in Florida, as Biden has been up slightly in the polls. Georgia too.
Although I think Trump will probably win Ohio, but I'd take those odds.
I could get Georgia and Florida being favored Republican due to history, maybe the odds are more reflective of that.
If I could bet I would lay 650 to win 100 that Trump will not win every state he won before. Probably a better value would be laying 260 on Trump to lose every state he lost before. I would also lay 650 on Biden winning the popular vote. Actually I would risk 1300 to win 200 on that one. Steep odds I know, but it's a slam dunk right?
Would be fun if some people wanted to chime in with some pretend bets before the results tonight.
No taker here, it was only 72 short years ago (in relative history) that the Nov 3 Chicago Tribune headline blared “Dewey Defeats Truman” - too much of a standoff for me, also too many X factors
outcome won’t be known til later this week
No taker here, it was only 72 short years ago (in relative history) that the Nov 3 Chicago Tribune headline blared “Dewey Defeats Truman” - too much of a standoff for me, also too many X factors
outcome won’t be known til later this week
Well that's no fun. You have a hypothetical $100 to wager in the above choices. What would you pick? How about a Senate race?
I'd bet on Hickenlooper too. Huge price but almost free money right?
Yikes, sorry bro, my bad, didn’t mean to throw a wet blanket on this fun thread, should’ve looked at it a little closer👓🍄
Eh, nobody else wants to play anyway...
I'd bet on Hickenlooper too. Huge price but almost free money right?
It does seem like a near sure thing. I can't imagine how he could lose that one, but its a lot to risk for so little. I'd take Biden to win Florida. No guarantee, but I like the payout vs the risk.
Did Kanye win?
Trump moved to live betting favorite -260
Biden -275 now. Could've got some great odds on Biden last night when the odds makers and bettors didn't understand the amount of mail-in votes yet to be counted in states he was/is leading in.
I don't bet online but I think I might in the future. Hickenlooper was as easy as it gets and while the price was high, not as high as say betting on McConnell or something.
im surprised nobody else wanted to discuss any of this.
I bet that 48 to 52% will be unhappy with the eventual outcome. The other way around, too.
Do we know anything yet? Going to the dispensary, need to know how much I should get....... 
Nope - sorry...... 😋
