National Poll shows Trump beating Hillary Clinton

National Poll shows Trump beating Hillary Clinton
Trump touts poll giving him edge over Clinton; Cruz issues dire warning
Published May 02, 2016 - FoxNews.com
Donald Trump moved Monday to blunt the narrative that he would lose a general election to Hillary Clinton if he’s the Republican nominee, touting a new poll that showed him narrowly edging the Democratic presidential front-runner in a hypothetical match-up.
The Rasmussen Reports survey buoyed Trump’s campaign as he seeks to add to his hot streak on Tuesday in Indiana’s primary – a contest rival Ted Cruz is fighting hard to win.
Cruz has escalated his rhetoric as he courts Hoosier voters, even saying Sunday that Americans are “praying†for them. He warned against giving “in to evil.â€
Asked Monday what he meant by that, the Texas senator said, “We are not a bitter, angry, petty, bigoted people. That is not America.†Spokesman Ron Nehring also invoked religious imagery, telling Fox News a Trump nomination would lead to a “wipeout of biblical proportions†for the GOP in November.
But the Rasmussen poll released Monday – even if it’s a flash-in-the-pan outlier – for the time being helps Trump counter persistent claims by Cruz, Ohio Gov. John Kasich and other detractors that he would surely lose to Clinton in November.
The poll showed Trump edging Clinton 41-39 percent in a hypothetical match-up, the first time he’s led their polling since last October. There is an asterisk in that finding: If voters are given the option of staying home, another recent Rasmussen survey showed Clinton and Trump tied.
Still, it was enough for Trump to herald the results on Twitter.
The poll of 1,000 likely voters was conducted April 27-28, and had a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
In Indiana itself, Trump continues to enjoy a roughly 9-point lead over Cruz, according to the RealClearPolitics average. On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton has maintained a nearly 7-point average lead over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.
Though Clinton, too, has been on a winning streak and is far closer to clinching the nomination than Trump, Sanders has – like Cruz – insisted he plans to keep on fighting.
“We intend to fight for every vote and every delegate remaining,†Sanders said at a press conference in Washington, D.C., on Sunday.
On Monday, Cruz similarly declared: "I am in for the distance, as long as we have a viable path to victory. I am competing until the end.â€
Asked whether he still has a path to victory even if he loses on Tuesday, Cruz said: “Absolutely.â€
Trump, to the contrary, said if he wins Tuesday, “it’s over.â€
Fifty-seven delegates are at stake Tuesday in the Indiana GOP primary; 83 are at stake for the Democrats.
The pressure has only mounted on Cruz to do well in Indiana, amid reports that so-called “unbound†delegates in states like North Dakota who had been aligned with Cruz are growing uneasy amid Trump’s winning streak – and could consider flipping to Trump on the first ballot in Cleveland.
Nehring vowed Monday that Trump “will not get a majority on the first ballot.â€

And this happens even before the Grand Jury is empaneled.
Hillary's Clinton's senior staff are scheduled to be deposed in the next few days.
Guess who is next?
[Edited on 5/3/2016 by Muleman1994]

I wouldn't get too excited about one right leaning poll with a small survey size finally showing Trump with a razor thin lead over Clinton skippy, especially when all the other polls showing the opposite.

I wouldn't get too excited about one right leaning poll with a small survey size finally showing Trump with a razor thin lead over Clinton skippy, especially when all the other polls showing the opposite.
Amazing that the outlier (right wing Rasmussen Reports) has Trump up, yet the other 5 "inferior" polls have Clinton up. One of the 5 includes FOX. Guess Rasmussen is just that dam good at polling compared to the others.
Rasmussen reminds me of Karl Rove and his oh so inaccurate predicitions in the previous election.

I wouldn't get too excited about one right leaning poll with a small survey size finally showing Trump with a razor thin lead over Clinton skippy, especially when all the other polls showing the opposite.
Amazing that the outlier (right wing Rasmussen Reports) has Trump up, yet the other 5 "inferior" polls have Clinton up. One of the 5 includes FOX. Guess Rasmussen is just that dam good at polling compared to the others.
Rasmussen reminds me of Karl Rove and his oh so inaccurate predicitions in the previous election.
Plus, if you actually read the Rasmussen poll, those results exclude the "stay at home" results option, which was included as an option in their poll. If you exclude people who are planning on staying at home in a Trump vs Clinton contest, well Trump doesn't lead anymore.
[Edited on 5/3/2016 by 2112]

Donald is the consensus GOP nominee
One of the lower-tier candidates has selected his vice president -- Ronald Reagan did that one time -- named his VP during the campaign but didn't help -- wasn't Geraldine Ferraro on the Democratic ticket during a campaign one time too -- must be a last-gasp measure
it's like the playoffs, tournament is in home stretch & now its Donald-Clinton in the finals for all the mah-bles -- best to both

-- best to both
You must be referring to somewhere else, other than the Whipping Post.

I wouldn't get too excited about one right leaning poll with a small survey size finally showing Trump with a razor thin lead over Clinton skippy, especially when all the other polls showing the opposite.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html/blockquote >
__________________________________________________________________________The link you cite is stale and every one of those polls also has what you call a "small"
Since the Rasmussen poll doesn't give the results you liberals want, you refer to Rasmussen as right leaning.
That of course is crap.
Rasmussen is the most respected national polling organization in the U.S.

A good reason why Hillary Clinton is falling in the polls:
Clinton confronted by laid-off coal worker at West Virginia campaign stop
Video link at bottom.
Published May 03, 2016 - FoxNews.com
Sanders stumps in Indiana as Clinton focuses on W. Va.
Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton was confronted Monday at a campaign stop in West Virginia by a laid-off coal worker over previous comments she made that “we’re going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business.â€
Clinton was attending a panel discussion with residents and Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin in Williamson, W. Va. when she was asked a question by Bo Copley, who told her he was a laid off worker in the coal industry.
“I just want to know how you can say you’re going to put a lot of coal miners out of, out of jobs, and then come in here and tell us how you’re going to be our friend, because those people out there don’t see you as a friend,†Copley said, sometimes breaking into tears, as the chants of the protesters were heard outside.
Clinton however said her comments in March were a “misstatement,†and that she has been talking about helping out coal country “for a very long time.â€
“What I was saying is that the way things are going now, we will continue to lose jobs,†Clinton said Monday. “That’s what I meant to say, and I think that that seems to be supported by the facts. I didn’t mean that we were going to do it, what I said was, that is going to happen unless we take action to try to and help and prevent it.â€
Clinton released a $30 billion plan last fall aimed at aiding communities dependent on coal production and she's promised that her husband would focus on revitalizing the region.
Manchin came to Clinton’s defense on Monday.
“If I thought that was in her heart, if I thought she wanted to eliminate one job in West Virginia I wouldn’t be sitting here,†he said. “I think Hillary knows that. She wouldn’t be here if she felt that way. There is no way you could come into this type of a setting and the way that people are hurting so bad unless you want to help them.â€
Copley however told Manchin he didn’t believe that his endorsement of Clinton was a good move.
Coal Production in West Virginia | FindTheData
“If I can be candid, I think still supporting her hurts you, it does, because it’s not a good outlook here,†he said.
"I can't take it back, and I certainly can't get people who, for political reasons or personal reasons, very painful reasons, are upset with me," Clinton said. "I want you to know I'm going to do whatever I can to help no matter what happens politically."
She added, "Whether or not West Virginia supports me, I'm going to support you."
Copley said he plans to vote in the Republican primary May 10.
The Republican National Committee responded Monday to the Clinton calling her earlier comments a “misstatement.â€
“If Hillary Clinton really stood with coal country she’d be calling on the Obama EPA to stop taking a wrecking ball to their way of life. Given her steadfast support for Obama’s War on Coal, her promise to ‘put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business’ may have been one of the few honest moments she’s had this entire campaign,†said RNC spokesman Michael Short.
The Obama administration has been accused for years of pursuing policies harmful to the coal industry, including new regulations on power plants. As a presidential candidate in 2008, Barack Obama once said his goal is a cap-and-trade system that would make it so anybody wanting to build a coal plant would face costs so high it would “bankrupt†them.
Clinton is in the midst of a two-day campaign swing through Appalachia ahead of voting in that region later this month.
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
Hillary Clinton Apologizes To Former Coal Worker
-Claims she “misspoke†(liberal code for getting caught)

Context can be so tricky... for some.
Clinton did tell a town hall audience in Columbus, Ohio in March that "we're going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business." But that was part of a longer answer about the need to help blue-collar workers adjust. "We're going to make it clear that we don't want to forget those people," Clinton said. "Those people labored in those mines for generations, losing their health, often losing their lives to turn on our lights and power our factories. Now we've got to move away from coal and all the other fossil fuels, but I don't want to move away from the people who did the best they could to produce the energy that we relied on."

I wouldn't get too excited about one right leaning poll with a small survey size finally showing Trump with a razor thin lead over Clinton skippy, especially when all the other polls showing the opposite.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html/blockquote >
__________________________________________________________________________The link you cite is stale and every one of those polls also has what you call a "small"
Since the Rasmussen poll doesn't give the results you liberals want, you refer to Rasmussen as right leaning.
That of course is crap.
Rasmussen is the most respected national polling organization in the U.S.You didn't even read the poll. Removing the responds for those who said they were staying home (meaning not voting), Trump doesn't even lead in the Rasmussen poll. Rasmussen is spinning their own poll in the headlines.
And how did the "most respective national polling organization in the US" do in the last presidential election? Well, they were close to the bottom, with a heavy Republican bias of course. Numbers don't lie skippy:

The 1:1 polls really don't matter. In the end & what counts is the electoral college. Last week I referenced Larry Sabato's early prediction of 347 to 191 for HC. Just guessing that Rasmussen would probably have that flipped.

I wouldn't get too excited about one right leaning poll with a small survey size finally showing Trump with a razor thin lead over Clinton skippy, especially when all the other polls showing the opposite.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html/blockquote >
__________________________________________________________________________The link you cite is stale and every one of those polls also has what you call a "small"
Since the Rasmussen poll doesn't give the results you liberals want, you refer to Rasmussen as right leaning.
That of course is crap.
Rasmussen is the most respected national polling organization in the U.S.You didn't even read the poll. Removing the responds for those who said they were staying home (meaning not voting), Trump doesn't even lead in the Rasmussen poll. Rasmussen is spinning their own poll in the headlines.
And how did the "most respective national polling organization in the US" do in the last presidential election? Well, they were close to the bottom, with a heavy Republican bias of course. Numbers don't lie skippy:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/?_r=0/blockquote >
________________________________________________________________________The writer of your opinion piece link is Nate Silver a far-left blogger.
What do you think his opinion would be?Rasmussen remains the most respected national polling organization.
Ha ha

Clinton fellow corrupt NY Politician Sheldon Silver sentenced to prison
Sheldon Silver, Ex-New York Assembly Speaker, Gets 12-Year Prison Sentence
By BENJAMIN WEISER and VIVIAN YEEMAY 3, 2016
Interesting article in that the NY Times exposes a long history of corrupt democratic party NY politicians.

I wouldn't get too excited about one right leaning poll with a small survey size finally showing Trump with a razor thin lead over Clinton skippy, especially when all the other polls showing the opposite.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html/blockquote >
__________________________________________________________________________The link you cite is stale and every one of those polls also has what you call a "small"
Since the Rasmussen poll doesn't give the results you liberals want, you refer to Rasmussen as right leaning.
That of course is crap.
Rasmussen is the most respected national polling organization in the U.S.You didn't even read the poll. Removing the responds for those who said they were staying home (meaning not voting), Trump doesn't even lead in the Rasmussen poll. Rasmussen is spinning their own poll in the headlines.
And how did the "most respective national polling organization in the US" do in the last presidential election? Well, they were close to the bottom, with a heavy Republican bias of course. Numbers don't lie skippy:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/?_r=0/blockquote >
________________________________________________________________________The writer of your opinion piece link is Nate Silver a far-left blogger.
What do you think his opinion would be?Rasmussen remains the most respected national polling organization.
Ha ha
It's an opinion piece based on facts. Do you dispute the facts? if so, then provide a link to a what you consider to be the facts. Sorry, Rasmussen is one of the poorest performing polling agencies. That is a fact.

I wouldn't get too excited about one right leaning poll with a small survey size finally showing Trump with a razor thin lead over Clinton skippy, especially when all the other polls showing the opposite.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html/blockquote >
__________________________________________________________________________The link you cite is stale and every one of those polls also has what you call a "small"
Since the Rasmussen poll doesn't give the results you liberals want, you refer to Rasmussen as right leaning.
That of course is crap.
Rasmussen is the most respected national polling organization in the U.S.You didn't even read the poll. Removing the responds for those who said they were staying home (meaning not voting), Trump doesn't even lead in the Rasmussen poll. Rasmussen is spinning their own poll in the headlines.
And how did the "most respective national polling organization in the US" do in the last presidential election? Well, they were close to the bottom, with a heavy Republican bias of course. Numbers don't lie skippy:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/?_r=0/blockquote >
________________________________________________________________________The writer of your opinion piece link is Nate Silver a far-left blogger.
What do you think his opinion would be?Rasmussen remains the most respected national polling organization.
Ha ha
It's an opinion piece based on facts. Do you dispute the facts? if so, then provide a link to a what you consider to be the facts. Sorry, Rasmussen is one of the poorest performing polling agencies. That is a fact.
_______________________________________________________________________
You are entitled to be wrong... time and time again.

The Associated Press calls Indiana for Trump.

The Associated Press calls Indiana for Trump.
Hey folks, write down the time and date. Muleboiy was finally right about something. Never thought it would happen, but there it is. A correct fact.

Heheheheh ... You smug ass of a mule... You got no chance you fool. You Knave. You moron.

And Trump wins again!
Informed people already knew Trump would be the nominee but the low-info voters kept crying.
Now little billy you can go back and cower in the corner of your little safe space.

I'm at my lake house this week Mule. Feeling pretty safe. New boat tied to the dock. Feeling very safe indeed.


I can't wait to see how disappointed all his dysfunctional supporters will be after he either goes back on his words, or gets blocked by Democrats, much like Obama has. Because, surely everyone now realizes that extremists on either side of aisle are rendered ineffective when their opposition blocks their moves at every turn. All of these disturbed individuals are screwing themselves and they don't even know it! They were the ones who invented the block, yet they can't see that it's about to happen to Trump if he wins. They could have elected one of the many other qualified candidates who didn't have enemies, and didn't hand out ammunition for the opposition like candy. Someone who could have actually sold people and pass conservative policies. Instead, they will Get Trump, who doesn't demonstrate conservatism one bit, who won't be able to accomplish anything, except for maybe 1 pet project and a few executive orders. If you were frustrated by inaction over the past 8 years, get ready for more.

Your bleak assessment is true for a weak ineffectual leader like Pres Obama. If Trump wins, there will be growth and progress thru strong leadership. Continue to belittle his supporters as morons is another mistake the liberal media tried to push. Give it up. You probably believe the border is secure too.

You can believe the "weak ineffectual leader" bs from Fox and the right-wing media, or you can see the reality and what other leaders think of him..... your choice, I guess

You can believe the "weak ineffectual leader" bs from Fox and the right-wing media, or you can see the reality and what other leaders think of him..... your choice, I guess
Funny how he is a weak leader in one post and then a tyrant dictator with comparisons to Hitler in the next. I always enjoy reading GOP criticism of Obama because it is so all over the place.
[Edited on 5/5/2016 by 2112]

Goober, you are funny. The border is not a threat to you or I. The whole debate is simply anger from the right, who don't like immigrants.

I have to admit, that is a great cover.

I'm pulling for Trump simply because I believe it's time to blow the whole thing up. It's timne for revolution, and this is the way we accomplish it in America, with our vote, whether at the ballot box or with our pocket books. The more the GOP establishment hates Trump, the better I like him. I believe the Dem establishment is underestimating the mood of the people that constitute their base, just as the GOP has. A socialist is giving an established dem a good run, and still winning primaries at this point in the race. That is so significant. No matter what he says, Trump will be limited in what he can actually do, just like any other president by our system of checks and balances. But wht the Trump "movement", and Sanders also, represent about where the people of the United States are with opur cureent political system is remarkable. The times they are a changin'.

Goober, you are funny. The border is not a threat to you or I. The whole debate is simply anger from the right, who don't like immigrants.
We could use more immigrants here in Maine, although our wack job governor is worse than Trump when it comes to denigrating the immigrant population. If you want to know what a Trump presidency would look like, look no farther than the disaster that is Maine governor Paul LePage...other than the wealth factor, the similarities are striking.
[Edited on 5/6/2016 by gondicar]
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