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Author: Subject: College Football 2018

Maximum Peach



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  posted on 12/19/2018 at 08:02 PM
Well, I went 0-4 in bowl bets Saturday (losing ULL 2nd H really sucked, as did losing GaSouthern on that 4th down TD by EM) - so UAB was my first winner last night. We'll see how SDSt can do tonight. Very underwhelming year for them, they had some significant injuries...I just have a hard time accepting Ohio as the favorite over them so I took them Aztecs.
 

Maximum Peach



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  posted on 12/19/2018 at 08:06 PM
I appreciate you guys offering up the bowl pool sign ups. I;m just kind of playing out the string here. Spending more time on snowmobile forums than actually thinking about or watching games so not the best year for me to get into those.


 

Zen Peach



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  posted on 12/21/2018 at 11:28 AM
quote:
Well, I went 0-4 in bowl bets Saturday (losing ULL 2nd H really sucked, as did losing GaSouthern on that 4th down TD by EM) - so UAB was my first winner last night. We'll see how SDSt can do tonight. Very underwhelming year for them, they had some significant injuries...I just have a hard time accepting Ohio as the favorite over them so I took them Aztecs.



Had the Aztecs too, they should have played in the Egg Bowl since they laid a big one.

Did have Marshall and the over last night.

Eventually we'll be through these games with two very mediocre teams against each other pretty soon. Like the Army/Houston game under tomorrow. I like a number of dogs winning outright next week. May have to have fun with a money line parlay.

 

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  posted on 12/21/2018 at 03:45 PM
Here's a funny one: I turned on the Bahamas Bowl. Steve Levy (a guy that's been on Sportscenter forever) is calling the game and says this after a QB was rushed:

"Turnovers are better than sacks".

Wow! Really?

[Edited on 12/21/2018 by Lee]

 

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Zen Peach



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  posted on 12/21/2018 at 06:14 PM
Neb, maybe this will help?

I always listen to Stanford Steve and The Bear's pick podcast. Each went 2-2 last week, SS had FIU +6 and they hit today, first underdog to outright win this year.

Their selections this week:

SS - BC +2 1/2, Wisc +3 1/2, Syracuse +1 1/2 (now pick 'eM), Vandy -4.

The Bear: Cal (PK), Purdue +4 1/2, Army/Hous under.

They both took Iowa St. +3 1/2. (When they both agree this year they're like 80%).

As The Bear says, "The less you bet the more you lose when you win."

Good luck!

 

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  posted on 12/21/2018 at 06:55 PM
Missed my first game today in neb's pool........
 

Maximum Peach



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  posted on 12/21/2018 at 10:38 PM
quote:
Neb, maybe this will help?

I always listen to Stanford Steve and The Bear's pick podcast. Each went 2-2 last week, SS had FIU +6 and they hit today, first underdog to outright win this year.

Their selections this week:

SS - BC +2 1/2, Wisc +3 1/2, Syracuse +1 1/2 (now pick 'eM), Vandy -4.

The Bear: Cal (PK), Purdue +4 1/2, Army/Hous under.

They both took Iowa St. +3 1/2. (When they both agree this year they're like 80%).

As The Bear says, "The less you bet the more you lose when you win."

Good luck!


I had my best day of the bowls today, which I needed because it had been rough. 0-4 Saturday, W Tues, L Wed, L Thurs. But today I hit a total of 3 FIU bets (1st H, ML and game) and a 2nd H BYU bet.

Tomorrow I like Wake and Houston but am undecided on the UB-Troy and LT-UH games.

I like hearing who Steve and Bear like. I also like BC, but I will be taking Baylor not Vandy. I don't think I have formed opinions on the Bear picks.

 

Zen Peach



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  posted on 12/22/2018 at 06:29 AM
Is Bear the guy that is on ESPN's College Game Day?

Oh and load up on Army. Kind of like Memphis but the line moved up to 3.5 from 3. I have an old friend that has a line about getting burned with "the hook" (the extra half point).

It's not PC so I can't post it.

[Edited on 12/22/2018 by Lee]

 

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Maximum Peach



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  posted on 12/22/2018 at 08:51 AM
quote:
Is Bear the guy that is on ESPN's College Game Day?

Oh and load up on Army. Kind of like Memphis but the line moved up to 3.5 from 3. I have an old friend that has a line about getting burned with "the hook" (the extra half point).

It's not PC so I can't post it.

[Edited on 12/22/2018 by Lee]


Yes he is the ESPN guy.

I'll tell you my perspectives on the WF-Mem and Army-Hou games and you can tell me what you like in the other sides.

With Memphis, I really believe they are a one man team. And that one man, Darrell Henderson, isn't playing in this game. Brady White is as much of a potential liability as he is potential play maker. Memphis has some competent other RBs but Henderson is the elite talent and game breaker, if more of the game is on White's shoulders, I like that for Wake. If Henderson was playing I do not think I would play Memphis...or Wake. I would just stay away. If you are looking at injury reports, you might see that the Hartman QB is out for WF, but the backup has played in the last 3 games and actually guided them to a 2-1 record. They say that if he was healthy to start the year, he may've beat Hartman out anyway. Greg Dortch being out for WF is a big deal. But I think missing a WR isn't that hard to replace...they basically make just 1 or 2 impact plays a game. He's the big play guy, but Washington was a bigger play guy than he has been this year so he can step up and the possession receivers are solid. WF OL is all upper classmen with over 150 career starts among them. They ran for over 300y in two of their last 5 games and they get 2018 #2 rusher Colburn back for the bowl (7th all time leading rusher). People think the WF D is bad...but Memphis isn't good on D either, they just have played lower profile teams so it has gone unnoticed. I am surprised that Memphis is favored and more surprised that the line has ticked up. Fine with me, that is my preferred way to bet on a team I like when other people don't like them.

With Army, we know how tough they are...and Houston has been a clusterf*ck at times. Here is the thing with Army, they play in alot of close, one possession games. They had to front door vs Colgate scoring late to win by 14 when they were one or two plays away from being able to take knees and kill the clock. Otherwise, 7 pt win vs Navy, 3 pt win vs AF, beat EM by 15, but Army actually blew a big lead and allowed EM to get within a couple pts before pulling away again, 1 pt win in OT vs Mia, O, beat Hawaii by 7 with Warriors throwing in EZ as time expired. Sure they have had their share of blowouts as well, but vs the athletes that Houston has, it has for me to not see the Cougs O having success. That is where academies struggle most, vs speedy athletic spread teams - which Houston is. QB King is out for UH and the backup has only played one game, the CUSA Title game vs Memphis (loss), but I think he has a pretty good skill set, just lacks the experience. I am going to trust that Houston O does ok today. On the other side, Army just smothers you and bleeds the clock by owning time of possession so even if you are the better, fast team, if the other team's O can't get on the field Army's D is less vulnerable (see Oklahoma game). One edge that Houston might have that some teams Army plays do not is that Houston plays Navy all the time. And Tulane is not a flex-bone triple option team, there are some similar principles. So Houston has some familiarity facing a team like Army. Coaching edge is a HUGE for Army over Applewhite, no question about it. And Army's motivation and determination to win this game, like every game, can't be questioned. But laying 6.5 with them vs a team that should be able to score when they have the ball? I think Houston has a chance to keep it a one possession game.

What are you thinking on those?

 

Maximum Peach



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  posted on 12/22/2018 at 09:17 AM
I really have no fears with Wake.

My fear with Houston is the mindset of the players, because this could be one of those games where Army cares and wants to play and Houston players just don't care. Happens all the time in bowls and that would be the Houston worst nightmare because while Army has allowed some teams to comeback on them this year, not sure a Houston team that falls behind will be motivated enough to want to do it. We should know early in the game how it is going to go down.

 

Zen Peach



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  posted on 12/22/2018 at 11:48 AM
quote:
I really have no fears with Wake.

My fear with Houston is the mindset of the players, because this could be one of those games where Army cares and wants to play and Houston players just don't care. Happens all the time in bowls and that would be the Houston worst nightmare because while Army has allowed some teams to comeback on them this year, not sure a Houston team that falls behind will be motivated enough to want to do it. We should know early in the game how it is going to go down.


Okay Neb, you've got me on Wake also. Let's hope there isn't one for our wallets after the game.

Not sure if it's suspensions, injuries or weather but just this morning the Army/Hous O/U dropped by 4 1/2 points. It would have to be a whole lotta $$$$ on it to drop it by that much so maybe a combination of factors. Glad I got it under when I did.

 

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  posted on 12/23/2018 at 07:51 AM
70-14

 

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Zen Peach



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  posted on 12/23/2018 at 08:31 AM
Losing my butt in my bowl pool.

Had Memphis. Crazy ending.

Only game I got right yesterday was Army. Do you realize they only threw the ball FOUR times?!?!? Yet they scored 70 points. Did Houston really not expect them to run the ball? It's all they do.

 

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Maximum Peach



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  posted on 12/23/2018 at 11:29 AM
Major Applewhite should've resigned immediately after that game. Those are the kinds of games that can happen in bowls...sometimes one team really just doesn't care. Wrong team not to care against. Pitiful.

This week should ramp up quite a bit. 3 games each day Wed - Thur - Fri and then a big day upcoming Saturday!

 

Universal Peach



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  posted on 12/23/2018 at 11:38 AM
quote:
70-14


Wow. I thought the final was 56-7. Props to Army but there has to be some serious dysfunction with Houston.

 

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Maximum Peach



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  posted on 12/26/2018 at 09:28 PM
Pissed off they canceled that Boise - BC bowl game mid 1st qrt. Only game I cared about today. If they knew the threat of severe thunderstorms were possible this afternoon, why not move the kickoff time up? Can't imagine being a fan or family member who took time and spend money on that trip only to get one half of one quarter of a game. Plus BC was going to roll the blue smurfs.
 

Zen Peach



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  posted on 12/27/2018 at 11:38 AM
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Pissed off they canceled that Boise - BC bowl game mid 1st qrt. Only game I cared about today. If they knew the threat of severe thunderstorms were possible this afternoon, why not move the kickoff time up? Can't imagine being a fan or family member who took time and spend money on that trip only to get one half of one quarter of a game. Plus BC was going to roll the blue smurfs.



Definitely agree looks like BC was going to pound them and I of course had them straight up and on the ML. Thems the breaks I guess.

I would be super po'd if I'd spent all the $ and effort to get there and have the game cancelled. Tough to be a senior player too, going out with merely a whisper in your last "scheduled game."

Hoping the Badgers pounce today!

 

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  posted on 12/27/2018 at 04:47 PM
Ended up taking all three dogs today with the points, on the money line and a three ream money line parlay. Duke doing me proud in the first game!

Latest Stanford Steve & The Bear podcast calls for those interested:

They disagree on ND/Clemson @ -13. SS on ND, the Bear on the Tigers. They agree on Mich St.

SS other picks : ND, Mich St + 2 1/2 and A&M -7.

Bear : Ark St -1 1/2, Clem -13, 'Bama -14, Cincy -5 1/2, Mich St +2 1/2 and Kentucky +6 1/2.

So far on last week's picks The Bear 0-2 with Iowa St and Purd yet to go. SS had BC with it being cancelled. Yet to play Iowa St, Vandy & Syra.

Go Badgers! Go Baylor!

As The Bear says, "the less you bet the more you lose when you win." Good luck wagerers!

 

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  posted on 12/27/2018 at 04:48 PM
I was following the BC game and I checked and it said delayed. Okay. Checked a bit later and it was cancelled. I think that's only happened a couple of times.

I read a few articles about it this morning and I kind of agree and disagree with what I read.

Concern for the players. Valid. But nothing I read said anything about the fans. Where do they go? No locker room for them.

Didn't want to wait until the evening to restart. Disagree with that. What if the game was supposed to start then anyway?

You feel bad for the kids that were involved. Especially the seniors. Strange way to end your career.

The kids had to miss Xmas with their families to be there. Not sure there is much to that.

And here's the one I rally found interesting: The game was "only" an exhibition so it really didn't matter. Fair enough. Would the decision been different if this game had playoff implications?

 

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Zen Peach



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  posted on 12/27/2018 at 04:58 PM
Agree on Wisconsin with you.

I think Michigan State will get pounded.

I also like Washington State.

I liked Michigan but with these guys dropping out like flies I'm not so sure. The line dropped a point.

And of course the West Virginia line flipped.


I get why these kids do this (bowing out of the bowls) but it sure makes it tough to make your picks before all of this stuff comes out after the lines have been established.



 

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Zen Peach



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  posted on 12/27/2018 at 05:17 PM
The Wisconsin line was 3.5. Locked into that in a pool. This morning it was 3. Checked 20 minutes ago and 2.5. Just looked and 1.

Gotta loved Vegas...

 

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Zen Peach



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  posted on 12/27/2018 at 05:18 PM
Now it's a half a point.

 

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Zen Peach



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  posted on 12/27/2018 at 09:06 PM
quote:
Ended up taking all three dogs today with the points, on the money line and a three ream money line parlay. Duke doing me proud in the first game!

Latest Stanford Steve & The Bear podcast calls for those interested:

They disagree on ND/Clemson @ -13. SS on ND, the Bear on the Tigers. They agree on Mich St.

SS other picks : ND, Mich St + 2 1/2 and A&M -7.

Bear : Ark St -1 1/2, Clem -13, 'Bama -14, Cincy -5 1/2, Mich St +2 1/2 and Kentucky +6 1/2.

So far on last week's picks The Bear 0-2 with Iowa St and Purd yet to go. SS had BC with it being cancelled. Yet to play Iowa St, Vandy & Syra.

Go Badgers! Go Baylor!

As The Bear says, "the less you bet the more you lose when you win." Good luck wagerers!



Missed that Stanford Steve had Wisconsin on his last week picks. Want to give credit where it is due.

Crushing the local sports accountant today. He's got to be thinking "Ouch. Mommy!" Swept all kinds of combinations on the first two games. Since the three team money line parlay was still in play, I decided to guarantee some extra dough and put some on Vandy on the money line. Now, it's just a matter of how much more I'll gain in the last game.

Hoping the Cyclones continue the good results tomorrow. Got them early at +3 1/2, I see it dropped a point.

Also keeping in mind the old adage that gambling money knows no permanent home.

 

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  posted on 12/28/2018 at 05:15 PM
Who loaded up on Purdue getting 48?

 

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Zen Peach



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  posted on 12/28/2018 at 05:19 PM
I put a little on Syracuse. They have been playing well lately and who knows how West Virginia will play without their QB.

Like Washington State later. They could have won The Pac 12. Offense is good but Iowa St is no pushover. We shall see.

Looking forward to the games this weekend. I still think Meeechigan can cover a touchdown against Florida.

 

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