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Author: Subject: Ebola

World Class Peach



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  posted on 9/23/2014 at 03:23 PM
http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/23/world/africa/ebola-outbreak/index.html?hpt=hp _t2

watch the video......very compelling

CDC: Ebola cases could reach at least 550,000 by January

By Laura Smith-Spark, Miriam Falco, and Jen Christensen CNN
updated 3:31 PM EDT, Tue September 23, 2014

(CNN) -- The number of Ebola cases in Liberia and Sierra Leone could rise to between 550,000 and 1.4 million by January if there are no "additional interventions or changes in community behavior," the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said in a report Tuesday. The estimate was derived from a new forecasting tool developed by the CDC.

The range of estimated cases -- from 550,000 to 1.4 million -- is wide because experts suspect the current count is highly under-reported. The official death toll from Ebola in West Africa has climbed to more than 2,800 in six months, with 5,800 cases confirmed as of Monday, the World Health Organization said.

But the CDC estimates that if 70% of people with Ebola are properly cared for in medical facilities, the epidemic could decrease and eventually end.

In a press conference Tuesday, CDC Director Tom Frieden cautioned that this model is based on older data from August. The numbers are not projections, but "scenarios." The model does not take into account President Obama's announcement that the U.S. is sending troops and extra medical equipment to the area. Nor does it take into account the additional help from other countries promised.

What the model does suggests, he said, is that the current surge of help can "break the back of the epidemic" and is "exactly what's needed" to end it. He said he is now "confident the most dire predictions will not come to pass."

The cautionary tale this data does tell, he said is that there would be an "enormous cost" if help is delayed.
Gayle Smith, a special assistant to the President and senior director of the National Security Council said the model tells responders how to "bend the curve" and that the epidemic can end with a large international response. "The momentum must at least be maintained to ensure we are way out ahead of this," Smith said. And added that the international help will need to "stay on this as long as it takes."

A separate nine-month assessment published by WHO experts in The New England Journal of Medicine on Tuesday says the fatality rate of this outbreak in West Africa is 71% and that the "current epidemiologic outlook is bleak."

It also warns that without "drastic improvements" in measures to control its spread, the number of cases and deaths from Ebola is expected to continue climbing from hundreds to thousands per week in the coming months. The cumulative number of cases could exceed 20,000 by November 2, the assessment said.

It blamed the spread not on a particularly virulent strain of the virus, rather it said this outbreak was so deadly because of a "combination of dysfunctional health systems, international indifference, high population mobility, local customs, densely populated capitals, and lack of trust in authorities after years of armed conflict."

"Perhaps most important, Ebola has reached the point where it could establish itself as an endemic infection because of a highly inadequate and late global response."

It warns that the global response must improve to meet the threat posed by this and future epidemics.
Another six-month report from WHO -- which assesses the situation in three countries at the outbreak's center, Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone -- is dedicated to those health workers "who, as an expression of our innately shared human compassion, risked their lives, and lost them."

In the six months since this outbreak was first formally reported in March, 337 health care workers have been infected, of whom more than 181 have died, the WHO said.

The WHO's six-month report on Guinea, where the outbreak began in a remote area, details how the virus first gained a grip on a vulnerable, frightened population ill-equipped to deal with the deadly disease.
Once Ebola was identified as the killer, a national and international response swung into gear. But each time it looked like the country might be at the point of controlling the virus, new flare-ups occurred.

The WHO report concludes Ebola kept getting reintroduced "into Guinea -- with its notoriously porous borders -- from the large outbreaks in neighboring Liberia and Sierra Leone."

Controlling the virus then will not be feasible in Guinea until its stopped in neighboring countries.
Meanwhile, health workers there have come under attack as they seek to educate the local population.
"Today, one of the biggest barriers to control is violence from an impoverished, terrified and shattered population that does not understand what hit it and fights back the only way it can," the report said.

Liberia: Misery and hope

WHO's six-month report on Liberia summarizes their situation as one of "misery and despair tempered by some good reasons for hope."

The number of Liberian cases is increasing exponentially, with 113 new ones reported over a single 24-hour period on one day last week, WHO said -- a record number in any outbreak. At the same time, treatment centers are overflowing. Many patients are turned away.

Read: Desperation grows in the Ebola zone

The capacity to deliver other basic health services, such as care for women in childbirth, has been compromised. The report warns malaria-related deaths may soon surpass those from Ebola.

Hope can be found in the opening of a new WHO-funded, 120-bed Ebola treatment center, it said. The U.S. government is also setting up a new laboratory to speed up diagnosis. Currently there are four major Ebola treatment units in Liberia.

In remarks made on Tuesday, Liberian President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf said that her country's health care system is hurting. Of the over 1500 who have died, 85 were health care workers.

The President characterized the CDC's model for possible infections as "scary to all of us." She added, though, that she is happy with the U.S. response to the disaster. She believes it will make a "major" difference.

She predicts with that increased international effort, Liberia will see better results in a couple of weeks.

Sierra Leone: Urgent needs

The situation assessment for Sierra Leone explains how traditional burial practices helped the virus spread quickly there following the funeral of a respected local healer.

The virus has taken a devastating toll on health workers and researchers.

"Sierra Leone's most urgent needs include more treatment beds in much safer facilities, better contact training and follow-up, more personal protective equipment and body bags, and more properly protected teams to collect bodies and bury them safely," WHO said.

The deployment of international medical teams in West Africa, including from China and Cuba, may help.
Nigeria and Senegal, where the situation is judged "stable -- for the moment," are seen as success stories.
Those countries have shown conventional methods such as early detection, contact tracing, isolation and an adequate supply of personal protective equipment can contain the virus, WHO said.

"If Nigeria can control an outbreak caused by such a deadly and highly contagious virus, right from the start, any country in the world can do the same," its report said.

 

Zen Peach



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  posted on 9/28/2014 at 10:50 AM
CDC has the patents to the vaccine that can cure it. They had a cure since 2003. Logistically, nobody can get into all those villages to deliver vaccines, they could do air drops of medicine etc. but those people have been written off. It is too expensive to make the vaccines, distribute to people that the power elite deem as just taking up space and using resources. That is the reality.

RIght now they have been giving polio vaccines to children in Mumbai and Pakistan, and their children are ending up paralyzed so they don't want the vaccines anymore.

And you remember the Swine flu epidemic, the squalene and thimersol as ingredients and Washington's administration holding stock in the companies that made it.

Ebola will kill many people in third world countries. Here with the influx of people from Mexico, Central America, the Caribbean islands and South America it will get a foothold here as well. We can give them vaccines paid for by Medicaid, but how long do we support the welfare state of people living here who want medical care when more than 20 million Americans have no health care and cannot afford Obamacare.

Ebola will have infected 1.4 million in LIberia and Sierra Leone by the end of January 2015.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpeIz_J1g4s&list=UUFGmA4owCCCb-rn0DrkDy pA

The US has held patents since 2003 on the vaccines to cure Ebola.

http://www.google.com/patents/US7736656

http://www.google.com/patents/US20120...
Patented in 2003

 

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World Class Peach



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  posted on 9/28/2014 at 11:24 AM
so far the death toll has been doubling every month so i think 550,000 to 1 million is a big over estimation. 35-45 thousand is more realistic by january. even 100,000 i suppose would be possible if things spread to some other countries soon.
 

Extreme Peach



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  posted on 9/28/2014 at 11:39 AM
I think the West is a little over confident that this illness can be contained in Africa and will not spread to their countries. All it takes a few ill patients to get into the U.S. undetected for this thing to get a foothold. Just imagine if it was airborne.


 

World Class Peach



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  posted on 9/30/2014 at 04:52 PM
http://www.cnn.com/2014/09/30/health/ebola-us/index.html?hpt=hp_t1

CDC: First diagnosed case of Ebola in the U.S.
By Greg Botelho, CNN
updated 5:41 PM EDT, Tue September 30, 2014

(CNN) -- A patient being treated at a Dallas, Texas, hospital is the first person diagnosed with Ebola in the United States, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced Tuesday.
Several other Americans were diagnosed in West Africa and then brought to the United States for treatment.
The person who first tested positive for Ebola in the United States is a patient at Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital in Dallas, hospital spokesman Stephen O'Brien said Tuesday.
The adult patient developed symptoms days after returning to Texas from West Africa, and was admitted into isolation on Sunday, according to the Texas Department of State Health Services.

 

World Class Peach



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  posted on 10/2/2014 at 08:05 AM
http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/02/health/ebola-us/index.html?hpt=hp_t2

U.S. Ebola case: 80 monitored in Dallas
By Holly Yan and Gary Tuchman, CNN
updated 8:49 AM EDT, Thu October 2, 2014

Dallas (CNN) -- [Breaking news update, posted at 8:49 a.m. ET]

Health officials are monitoring not only the people the Dallas Ebola patient had contact with while he was contagious and not isolated, but also dozens of people that they subsequently contacted, Dallas County Health and Human Services spokeswoman Erikka Neroes said Thursday.

Eighty people -- the patient's contacts, plus people with whom they had contact -- are now being monitored for Ebola in the Dallas area, Neroes said. Earlier, Dallas Mayor Mike Rawlings said the patient's direct contacts numbered up to 20.

None has shown symptoms, and all are being given educational materials, Neroes said.

None of the 80 has been quarantined, Neroes said. However, Dallas County health officials have ordered four close relatives of the patient, Thomas Eric Duncan, to stay home and not have any visitors until at least October 19.

 

Universal Peach



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  posted on 10/2/2014 at 12:25 PM
Would have been a lot simpler to put the guy up in a hotel in Africa for a couple weeks before getting on the plane. Duh.

I think it has arrived. Keep your hands clean, and don't touch your faces, folks! And wear a mask in close quarters. Who cares if it looks funny.

[Edited on 10/2/2014 by BrerRabbit]

 

Zen Peach



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  posted on 10/2/2014 at 07:54 PM
quote:
I think the West is a little over confident that this illness can be contained in Africa and will not spread to their countries. All it takes a few ill patients to get into the U.S. undetected for this thing to get a foothold. Just imagine if it was airborne.




Don't give the Chem Trails goologs any ideas!

 

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World Class Peach



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  posted on 10/3/2014 at 04:08 PM
i still don't think health officials are being completely honest about ways transmission can happen. although ebola is not airborne, i'm pretty sure that a person who is infectious can transmit the disease by simply sneezing on you. a sneeze can disperse bodily fluids, so can a cough. blowing your nose and improperly disposing of kleenex could infect someone, as the virus can live outside of the host for an extened period of time. sweat is also a bodily fluid and someone in close proximity to an infectious person, i believe, could catch it. clothing with any of these substances on them could spread the ebola virus. sneezing on a hand rail at the airport, a toilet seat, even sitting down to eat in the food court all could spread the disease.

its not all about blood and feces.

with that said, i still believe that western nations face little chance of an epidemic.

maybe i'm wrong about all of that, but i'm more sure than unsure that i'm not.

 

A Peach Supreme



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  posted on 10/3/2014 at 07:35 PM
And by all means,keep them border's wide open! Good ol Obama.I hope you dumb **** 's that voted for the piece of **** are proud of your dumb ass's.But by all means ,,please repsond with your 20 dollar word's & excuses for him.

 

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Maximum Peach



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  posted on 10/3/2014 at 08:02 PM
quote:
And by all means,keep them border's wide open! Good ol Obama.I hope you dumb **** 's that voted for the piece of **** are proud of your dumb ass's.But by all means ,,please repsond with your 20 dollar word's & excuses for him.
its a long swim to the border from west africa LUKE!.

 

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World Class Peach



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  posted on 10/3/2014 at 08:02 PM
come on luke......this ebola thing should not be political.....the guy flew in from belgium, not africa. he was tested 3 times before he got on an airplane. yes he lied to people at the airport about his contacts. you can not force people to tell the truth. shutting down the borders ....lol....well its just not realistic.....how do you close the entire canadian border and all the coastlines? better screening procedures are needed, sure, but think about things with common sense. i'm guessing you are more conservative than progressive so the money you are proposing to spend goes against your beliefs i think. think about this too....john stewart said it better than i can

http://thedailyshow.cc.com/videos/ysfr9u/a-million-ways-to-die-in-the-u-s-

i can't get the link to post correctly....copy and paste

[Edited on 10/4/2014 by LeglizHemp]

[Edited on 10/4/2014 by LeglizHemp]

[Edited on 10/4/2014 by LeglizHemp]

 

Peach Extraordinaire



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  posted on 10/4/2014 at 10:41 AM
this is just another Y2K story. I'm sure it's something we have to watch and contain, but I find it very hard to believe this is going to be like the movie "Outbreak". It's just a convenient story for the media to eat up and get ratings. The more we panic, the more money they make.
 

World Class Peach



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  posted on 10/7/2014 at 10:21 PM
I'd like to think its that simple - but this is spread through contact with fluids; only a bit harder than the flu since it doesn't seem to spread as simple through coughing. The flu has been deadly

The 1918 flu pandemic (January 1918 – December 1920) was an unusually deadly influenza pandemic, the first of the two pandemics involving H1N1 influenza virus.[1] It infected 500 million[2] people across the world, including remote Pacific islands and the Arctic, and killed 50 to 100 million of them—three to five percent of the world's population[3]—making it one of the deadliest natural disasters in human history.

Having worked at St. Vincent's Hospital in 1981 at the start of the AID's epidemic you learn not to take anything for granted. Even if 50 people in one area got infected and it was "contained" that is millions upon millions in health care costs

 

Maximum Peach



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  posted on 10/8/2014 at 05:33 AM
I would not blow this off like it's nothing folks.

 

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World Class Peach



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  posted on 10/8/2014 at 07:12 AM
Can Ebola spread by coughing? By sneezing?

Unlike respiratory illnesses like measles or chickenpox, which can be transmitted by virus particles that remain suspended in the air after an infected person coughs or sneezes, Ebola is transmitted by direct contact with body fluids of a person who has symptoms of Ebola disease. Although coughing and sneezing are not common symptoms of Ebola, if a symptomatic patient with Ebola coughs or sneezes on someone, and saliva or mucus come into contact with that person’s eyes, nose or mouth, these fluids may transmit the disease.

How long does Ebola live outside the body?

Ebola is killed with hospital-grade disinfectants (such as household bleach). Ebola on dried on surfaces such as doorknobs and countertops can survive for several hours; however, virus in body fluids (such as blood) can survive up to several days at room temperature.

 

World Class Peach



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  posted on 10/8/2014 at 10:54 AM
http://www.aol.com/article/2014/10/08/report-first-ebola-patient-diagnosed- in-the-us-has-died/20974645/?icid=maing-grid7%7Cmain5%7Cdl1%7Csec1_lnk2%26p Lid%3D542432

DALLAS (AP) -- The first Ebola patient diagnosed in the United States died Wednesday morning in a Dallas hospital Wednesday, a hospital spokesman said.

Thomas Eric Duncan was pronounced dead at 7:51 a.m. at Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital Dallas, where he was admitted Sept. 28 and has been kept in isolation, according to spokesman Wendell Watson.

Duncan's condition was changed on Saturday from serious to critical.

Duncan carried the deadly virus with him from his home in Liberia, though he showed no signs when he left for the United States. He arrived in Dallas Sept. 20 and fell sick a few days later.

Others in Dallas still are being monitored as health officials try to contain the virus that has ravaged West Africa, with more than 3,400 people reported dead. They also trying to tamp down anxiety among residents frightened of contracting Ebola, though the disease can be spread only through direct contact with the bodily fluids of an already sick person.

Health officials have identified 10 people, including seven health workers, who had direct contact with Duncan while he was contagious. Another 38 people also may have come into contact with him.

The four people living in the northeast Dallas apartment where Duncan stayed have been isolated in a private residence.

Everyone who potentially had contact with Duncan will be monitored for 21 days, the normal incubation period for the disease.

Duncan passed an airport health screening in Liberia, where doctors took his temperature and found no other signs of Ebola symptoms. But a few days after he arrived, he began to have a fever, headache and abdominal pain.

He went to the emergency room of Texas Health Presbyterian in Dallas on Sept. 24, but was sent home. By Sept. 27, his condition had worsened. An ambulance that day took him back to the hospital, where he stayed in isolation.

The hospital has changed its explanation several times about when Duncan arrived and what he said about his travel history. It has acknowledged that Duncan told them on his first visit that he came from West Africa.

 

World Class Peach



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  posted on 10/8/2014 at 01:32 PM
I'm sure the administration will continue to state that an outbreak is unlikely and run the party line. No one who has travelled through that part of Africa should be allowed to enter our country till our safety can be insured. This is not racial; it is not political; it is medical.
 

World Class Peach



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  posted on 10/8/2014 at 01:48 PM
quote:
I'm sure the administration will continue to state that an outbreak is unlikely and run the party line. No one who has travelled through that part of Africa should be allowed to enter our country till our safety can be insured. This is not racial; it is not political; it is medical.


just remember Duncan flew in from Belgium. and there is an infection in spain where contacts are being watched. do we stop people from spain too? oh and in the EU people can travel freely so should all of the EU be banned also? just askin.... it is not political; it is medical.

[Edited on 10/8/2014 by LeglizHemp]

 

World Class Peach



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  posted on 10/8/2014 at 01:52 PM
quote:
quote:
I'm sure the administration will continue to state that an outbreak is unlikely and run the party line. No one who has travelled through that part of Africa should be allowed to enter our country till our safety can be insured. This is not racial; it is not political; it is medical.


just remember Duncan flew in from Belgium.


And his travel through other countries is documented on his passport. We know where else people have travelled; unless they sneak across a border. We weren't careful with the 9/11 guys who came from Canada - but it was a matter of not being careful.

If I go to Spain, Africa; Casablanca; London and back to the US it is not merely the last of my destinations that is accounted for.

And f**k Belgium. I was there last may and have never been to a nastier more anti-American place.

 

Zen Peach



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  posted on 10/8/2014 at 07:45 PM
The airlines ought to cough up the $82,000 for this machine that disinfects with ultra violet light. One Hundred hospitals in this country have done so and are sanitizing rooms where patients have had communicable diseases better than any former cleaning have.

http://www.xenex.com/xenex-robot/

http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/3819456768001/germ-zapping-robot-that-wants- to-kill-ebola/#sp=show-clips





[Edited on 10/9/2014 by gina]

 

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Maximum Peach



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  posted on 10/14/2014 at 09:24 AM
US media coverage of Ebola illustrated in this cartoon:

 

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True Peach



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  posted on 10/14/2014 at 12:31 PM
quote:
US media coverage of Ebola illustrated in this cartoon:

I don't get it. Is this saying that the coverage has been racist?

On a related note, Facebook Founder Mark Zuckerberg is donating $25 million to the Centers for Disease Control to help with the Ebola fight. Of course that amounts to less than 1/10th of 1% of his net worth, but a big number and noble deed just the same. Wonder if any other billionaires will follow suit.

 

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Maximum Peach



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  posted on 10/14/2014 at 01:34 PM
Maybe just color blind.

I'd probably just be becoming aware of the pandemic in Africa if not for LegalizeHemp beginning and updating this thread.

 

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World Class Peach



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  posted on 10/14/2014 at 07:49 PM
I surely think that concern is based on geography and not on race; 20 infected American Blacks will cause a panic
 
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